This season

Overall: Straight up: 94-44. Against spread: 72-64-2.

BEST BET

Atlanta (minus 31/2) at New Orleans: Kirk Cousins has helped the Falcons reach first place in the NFC South and Atlanta isn’t looking back. Meanwhile, the Saints have collapsed after a promising 2-0 start. New Orleans fired Dennis Allen and promoted special teams coordinator Darren Rizzi, who makes his coaching debut in this one. FALCONS 27-17

UPSET SPECIAL

Pittsburgh at Washington (minus 21/2): Russell Wilson has ignited Pittsburgh’s offense and the Steelers are coming off a bye rested and improved following the additions of wide receiver Mike Williams and edge rusher Preston Smith at the trade deadline. The surprising NFC East-leading Commanders, led by Jayden Daniels, made the biggest splash, adding four-time Pro Bowl cornerback Marshon Lattimore. STEELERS 23-20

New York Giants (minus 6) vs. Carolina, in Munich, Germany: Fans in Germany are seeing the worst of the NFL. The Giants have difficulty scoring, averaging a league-low 15.4 points per game. Bryce Young led the Panthers to a win last week against the Saints and will get another opportunity for a team that needs to find out if he has a future in Carolina. GIANTS 19-17

New England at Chicago (minus 6): No. 1 pick Caleb Williams lost to No. 2 pick Daniels on a Hail Mary two weeks ago. Now, Williams and the Bears face No. 3 pick Drake Maye and the Patriots. Williams is much better at home than on the road — 105.1 vs. 67.2 passer rating home/away. The Bears have won eight straight games overall at Soldier Field, including three this season. BEARS 24-16

Buffalo (minus 4) at Indianapolis: Josh Allen is playing outstanding, mistake-free ball and the Bills are running away with the AFC East. They’ve beat softer teams on their schedule but have tougher challenges ahead, including this one against Joe Flacco and the Colts on the road. BILLS 26-23

Denver at Kansas City (minus 81/2): The unbeaten two-time defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs are starting to hit their stride on offense as Patrick Mahomes and De’Andre Hopkins have made a quick connection. But the Broncos are on the rise behind coach Sean Payton and rookie QB Bo Nix. CHIEFS 26-20

San Francisco (minus 51/2) at Tampa Bay: The injury-depleted Bucs have to rebound on a short week after a disappointing finish Monday night when they nearly handed the Chiefs their first loss. The refreshed 49ers are coming off a bye and could see the return of Christian McCaffrey. 49ERS 27-20

Minnesota (minus 41/2) at Jacksonville: The Vikings kick off a stretch of three consecutive road games. They found a way to win last week despite three turnovers by Sam Darnold. The Jaguars had a chance to complete a stunning comeback win after trailing Philadelphia 22-0, but Trevor Lawrence’s interception on a poor throw on first down from the 14 cost Jacksonville. VIKINGS 26-23

Tennessee at Los Angeles Chargers (minus 71/2): The Chargers have won consecutive games by at least 17 points and start a stretch of three straight home games. The passing game has opened up behind Justin Herbert and J.K. Dobbins is third in the AFC in yards rushing with 620. CHARGERS 24-13

Philadelphia (minus 71/2) at Dallas: No Dak Prescott means no chance for Dallas. The Cowboys were already in trouble before Prescott sustained a hamstring injury that will force him to miss multiple games. Jalen Hurts is back to playing like the 2022 MVP runner-up and the Eagles are rolling with four straight wins. EAGLES 30-16

New York Jets at Arizona (minus 1): Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson showed what they can do together last week. The Cardinals are surprise leaders in the NFC West and have already surpassed their win total in each of the past two seasons. JETS 23-20

Detroit (minus 31/2) at Houston: Jared Goff is playing at an MVP level and the high-powered Lions have won six in a row. They added three-time Pro Bowl edge rusher Za’Darius Smith to bolster the defense and are primed to push for the NFC’s No. 1 seed. LIONS 24-22

Miami at Los Angeles Rams (minus 1): After an impressive road win, the Rams find themselves slight favorites at home vs. a two-win team. It’s a strange line. Clearly, oddsmakers are giving the Dolphins a ton of respect. Tua Tagovailoa is 0-2 since returning from a concussion but has played superb. He has completed 80.3% of his passes with three touchdowns and no interceptions. With Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back from injuries, Matthew Stafford and L.A.’s offense is on track. DOLPHINS 27-26