This season

Overall: Straight up: 72-35. Against spread: 57-48-2.

BEST BET

Atlanta (minus 21/2) at Tampa Bay: This matchup for the NFC South lost its luster when the Buccaneers lost their top two receivers. Chris Godwin is out for the season and Mike Evans could miss at least three games. Without them, Tampa Bay has to rely more on an improved rushing attack to avoid putting too much pressure on Baker Mayfield. FALCONS 27-20

UPSET SPECIAL

Philadelphia at Cincinnati (minus 2): Saquon Barkley’s addition has paid off for the Eagles. Jalen Hurts is making fewer mistakes and Philadelphia’s defense hasn’t allowed a touchdown in the past two games. The Bengals have a chance to even their record after a 1-4 start but they’ll need Joe Burrow and the playmakers on offense to produce more. EAGLES: 24-23

Baltimore (minus 9) at Cleveland: Two-time NFL MVP Lamar Jackson is playing elite ball, Derrick Henry has been sensational and the Ravens are back after an 0-2 start. The Browns are turning to Jameis Winston after losing Deshaun Watson for the season. That’s an upgrade. RAVENS: 24-16

Tennessee at Detroit (minus 111/2): Jared Goff has been exceptional, especially over the past three games. The Titans are giving up the fewest yards per game (259.2), but the offense is next-to-last in yards and is averaging just 17.7 points. LIONS 27-14

Arizona at Miami (minus 31/2): Tua Tagovailoa is expected to return after missing four games because of a concussion. The Dolphins desperately need him to boost an anemic offense that averaged 10 points per game during his absence. The Cardinals are coming off a Monday night win over the Chargers but Kyler Murray and the offense aren’t putting up enough points. DOLPHINS 26-20

New York Jets (minus 7) at New England: Davante Adams’ arrival didn’t help Aaron Rodgers get on track. He’s looking more like a 40-year-old quarterback than a four-time MVP. The “soft” Patriots — that’s what coach Jerod Mayo called his team — should provide a cure for New York’s woes. JETS 23-17

Green Bay (minus 4) at Jacksonville: The Jaguars are starting a stretch of games that will determine their season, facing four NFC teams that currently have a combined record of 19-4. Green Bay found a way to beat Houston last week despite three turnovers. PACKERS 29-24

Indianapolis at Houston (minus 5): The Texans are trying for just their second sweep of the Colts in this AFC South rivalry. Anthony Richardson was shaky again in his return last week as the Colts won for the fourth time in five games since an 0-2 start. TEXANS 27-20

New Orleans at Los Angeles Chargers (minus 71/2): So much for the unstoppable Saints the league saw the first two weeks. The Chargers won’t be in a good mood after a last-second loss in Arizona. CHARGERS 23-17

Buffalo (minus 3) at Seattle : Josh Allen hasn’t thrown an interception, the Bills have a comfortable lead in the AFC East and new addition Amari Cooper already made a big impact. The Seahawks are back on track after losing three in a row. BILLS 26-20

Chicago (minus 21/2) at Washington: Doesn’t look promising for the No. 1 vs. No. 2 matchup. Caleb Williams and the Bears probably won’t face Jayden Daniels when they visit the Commanders. Daniels has a rib injury and veteran Marcus Mariota would start for Washington in place of the injured rookie QB. BEARS 22-19

Carolina at Denver (minus 10): If Sean Payton gets Bo Nix and the offense on par with Denver’s defense, the Broncos will be a dangerous team in the AFC West. The Panthers are headed nowhere and could end up with the No. 1 overall pick again. BRONCOS 24-13

Kansas City (minus 10) at Las Vegas: The two-time defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs (6-0) gave Patrick Mahomes a new playmaker, acquiring three-time All-Pro receiver DeAndre Hopkins. CHIEFS 33-13

Dallas at San Francisco (minus 4): Micah Parsons could return to give Dallas a significant boost. The Cowboys are coming off a bye that gave them an extra week to think about a 38-point loss to Detroit. 49ERS 23-21

New York Giants at Pittsburgh (minus 61/2): It should be a long night for Daniel Jones and the rest of New York’s offense against T.J. Watt and a defense that’s allowed just 14.4 points per game. On the other side, Russell Wilson follows up his impressive prime-time debut with a Monday night appearance. STEELERS 26-16