Spelling out ABCs of the Iran accord
Here’s why May 12, Trump’s stance are globally significant
Despite strong support for the deal from all of America’s major allies except Israel, Trump has set a May 12 deadline to declare whether he will withdraw — or that the deal can be “fixed” to his liking. He has several options so the fallout either way is not yet clear.
Here are some things to know about the accord — and what is expected if Trump decides to pull out.
The deal required Iran to disable most of the centrifuges it used to enrich uranium, to ship out most of its uranium stockpile, to ensure a heavy water reactor could not produce weapons-grade plutonium, and to submit to monitoring and verification by international inspectors. The International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog agency, has issued 11 reports confirming Iran’s compliance.
Critics say the deal gives too much leeway to Iran by setting time limits, called sunset clauses, on key restrictions. Tehran can install more centrifuges after 10 years, for example, and can resume research and development after eight years.
Trump has slammed the deal because it doesn’t also stop Iran’s production of ballistic missiles or its support for militant groups in the Middle East. The U.S. and its allies maintain separate sanctions on Iran for those issues.
If he doesn’t renew the waiver, Congress probably would restore U.S. sanctions on Iran’s Central Bank. The president would have to sign additional executive orders and take other legal steps to renew U.S. sanctions on about 400 other formerly blacklisted Iranian entities and individuals.
Some of that could happen within days.
If Trump reimposes all U.S. sanctions, many other Iranian banks and sectors, including the country’s critical petrochemical and automotive industries, would probably lose international partners.
Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif posted a five-minute video on YouTube on Thursday to restate his country’s opposition to Trump’s position, saying Tehran would not “renegotiate or add on to a deal which we have already implemented in good faith.”
In New York last month, Zarif said that if the U.S. withdraws, Tehran would seriously consider “resuming at much greater speed our nuclear activities,” though he stopped short of threatening to produce weapons.
Iran also could respond by ending or limiting the inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency of its nuclear facilities.
French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel made back-to-back visits to the White House last month to lobby Trump in person. Macron told reporters there is “no Plan B” if the deal collapses. Russia has echoed the European warnings.