This season

Overall: Straight up: 157-68. Against spread: 124-98-3.

BEST BET

Philadelphia (minus 3) at Washington: Jalen Hurts got Philadelphia’s passing attack back on track and the Eagles had a drama-free week as wide receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith each had 100 yards receiving and a score. If Washington plans to take away the pass, the Eagles just hand it to Saquon Barkley. The Commanders barely escaped New Orleans with a win and Jayden Daniels got knocked around last week, getting sacked eight times. Things could get ugly if Daniels doesn’t get better protection. EAGLES 26-17

upset special

Jacksonville at Las Vegas (minus 11/2): This game has more implications on the NFL draft. A victory would damage the Raiders’ chances of landing the top pick. The Jaguars would pick sixth right now and would move into the top five with a loss. JAGUARS 23-20

Cleveland at Cincinnati (minus 8): Dorian Thompson-Robinson replaces Jameis Winston as Cleveland’s starting QB. The Bengals are wasting one of Joe Burrow’s best seasons. The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their past six games and have lost six straight road games. The Bengals are 15-5 ATS in their past 20 games vs. the Bengals. BENGALS 27-17

New York Giants (2-12) at Atlanta (minus 81/2): Rookie QB Michael Penix Jr. replaces Kirk Cousins as the Falcons fight for a playoff berth. If Penix simply avoids turnovers — Cousins has thrown eight picks in the past four games — he’ll be an upgrade. The Giants could have Drew Lock back as they continue their push for the No. 1 draft pick. FALCONS 24-16

Detroit (minus 61/2) at Chicago: The injury-riddled Lions need to get through a game without losing another starter. They’re still in control of the No. 1 seed in the NFC but have no margin for error. Jared Goff became the first QB to throw five TD passes in a loss last week. The Bears have lost eight in a row and Caleb Williams looks defeated. LIONS 33-17

Tennessee at Indianapolis (minus 31/2): The Titans are turning to Mason Rudolph at quarterback after benching Will Levis. The Colts begin a three-game stretch against opponents that currently have a .190 winning percentage combined. Indianapolis should finish with a winning record, but that probably won’t be enough for a playoff berth. COLTS 23-17

Los Angeles Rams (minus 31/2) at New York Jets: The Rams have won seven of nine to take control of their chances to win the NFC West. Matthew Stafford hasn’t been sacked in the past two games and he’s getting time to make plays. Aaron Rodgers is looking more like his old self for the Jets. It’s way too late to save New York’s season, but it could be a spoiler for other teams. Los Angeles has to be wary. RAMS 23-20

Minnesota (minus 3) at Seattle: Sam Darnold and the Vikings are hot on Detroit’s trail for the NFC North title and the NFC’s No. 1 seed. They’re coming off a short week and face a tough challenge on the road. Seattle received good news on Geno Smith’s injury and also could get running back Kenneth Walker back from a calf injury. SEAHAWKS 22-19

Arizona (minus 41/2) at Carolina: The up-and-down Cardinals are still in the mix in the NFC West, but can’t afford a letdown against Carolina. The defense has stepped up and Kyler Murray didn’t throw a pick last week after tossing five interceptions in the previous three games. The Panthers bombed as a favorite last week. CARDINALS 20-16

New England at Buffalo (minus 14): Josh Allen is on a mission in Buffalo. The Bills still have a shot for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they won’t take the Patriots lightly. Drake Maye is the only reason to watch New England. BILLS 33-16

San Francisco at Miami (minus 1): The 49ers are moving closer toward playoff elimination a year after losing in overtime in the Super Bowl. Miami’s defense bounced back after getting torched by Rodgers and the Jets only to see the offense come up short against Houston. Tua Tagovailoa has to protect the ball better after four turnovers. 49ERS 21-20

Tampa Bay (minus 4) at Dallas (6-8): Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans are clicking and the Buccaneers have won four straight to take control of the NFC South. They have to be wary of the Cowboys, especially Micah Parsons. BUCCANEERS 24-17

New Orleans at Green Bay (minus 141/2): Jordan Love has thrown no picks in the past four games and the Packers are locking in for the playoffs. The Saints have no chance of pulling off a massive upset. PACKERS 30-13